Historic U.S. Presidential Election Year Returns

This Chart shows the average historical rate of return in U.S. Presidential  election years from 1928 to 2011 (red line). The year-to-date returns for the S&P 500 is represented by the blue line.


Will this pattern repeat itself? It looks pretty similar so far.

I think the current President will do anything he can to get re-elected in November, including juicing the economy. I would not be surprised to see this scenario play out. Time will tell.

Source: Bespoke